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I hear over estimates way more often than under estimates, with my doula clients.
I constantly hear "The doctor said my baby is going to be 9 or 10 pounds and that I should consider inducing/c-section/episiotomy/whatever", and then the baby comes out 7 pounds.

I think it's really hard to be accurate, so I don't put much stock in weight estimates from anyone.

Mine was pretty close. At 36 weeks my doc estimated that she was 5'5' and would be about 6 1/2 - 7 lbs when she was born. DD was 6'15".

We had an ultrasound JUST before 3rd trimester so I may be no help but she was measuring I think 4lbs something at the time. The Dr. thought she would be 7-7.5 pounds at the most and said she was a petite baby, not a small baby...whatever that means? She came out 6lbs 9oz.

Most folks I know had smaller that estimate babies. My boy was bigger.

@wheres_c: @Arden: I was pushing for a while and they thought he was just too big and were giving me a few more pushes before calling csection. I was like, aw hell no and pushed out my big boy. I did need an episiotomy but it was fine.

They estimated 7lbs 13 oz and he came out 7 lbs even. But our radiologist routinely rounded down, so she'd always say the machine estimated xx so subtract half a lb.

I didn't get an ultrasound for this reason, but several people on my midwife team felt my baby and tried to estimate her size. Every one of them guessed too big. All of their estimates were in the 7 pound range, and my girl was only 6 pounds 12 ounces.